Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With as much as date news and a little however lively 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly anticipating the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to address mankind's most difficult questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pressing concerns that are less easy to select. Our company, Lightning Rod Labs, utahsyardsale.com has actually been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be much better at anticipating the future (and have seen some intriguing improvements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter design which is really on the smaller side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months ago so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following questions to our AI and ura.cc evaluated its reaction. While we have seen forecast improvements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

And lovewiki.faith so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...

First, I'll take a look at the key points from the short articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his profession, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even welcomed her good friends and family to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.

Some fans are delighted, while others, particularly Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not dealing with the speculation straight.

I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the odds and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, thinking about all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Looks like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm trying to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it looks like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the relocation. The article points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I also need to think about the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they might adjust their defense accordingly, which could either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a considerable number but possible offered their confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll use it several times, especially if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears considerable because it reveals he's done it in the past, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more current short articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That might mean he's less most likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a feud with Drake, which might offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination suit from Drake, so possibly he bewares about consisting of any questionable songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a risk that such content may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making vibrant carry on big stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may offer him more imaginative freedom. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal issues, and the event's context-the likelihood seems to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't suggest to trigger offense which he in fact found it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in eating, particularly with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the circumstance is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially financially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that may influence this forecast.

First, I read through the posts offered. They all mention the historic stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It seems like tails has actually turned up more typically than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is normally thought about random. The slight historic edge for tails could be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, sometimes individuals weigh historic data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I need to consider whether this historical predisposition ought to influence the probability.

After considering it, I decide that while the historical data shows a small choice for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the likelihood away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however does not override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably think the same. BUT, its official now since our AI says the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty major allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful employ current games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "absurd." They say there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from the people in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may imply there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the short articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise pointed out that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more given that 2022. That's intriguing due to the fact that if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, however incredibly not likely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth viewing the game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.